Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 89688.918658 94602.369274 99512.723894 104784.819996 110281.651782 115840.384409 121883.149256
2025-06-15 82236.420094 89808.486314 97585.008175 106157.957085 115333.046110 124847.451332 135448.845340
2025-06-22 76602.751651 85995.730200 95852.203328 106944.560335 119058.050556 131862.938883 146399.742570
2025-06-29 71814.576804 82525.660099 93970.981629 107075.241095 121627.028749 137253.740961 155266.095415
2025-07-06 67836.610666 79576.344071 92322.162074 107136.151393 123826.072261 141993.134677 163207.406122
2025-07-13 65601.787862 78359.295112 92404.429331 108942.999893 127810.020143 148586.950639 173119.389055
2025-07-20 63518.103337 77146.281370 92343.283555 110452.847066 131347.721633 154600.712736 182331.908373
2025-07-27 61310.014771 75646.978615 91828.291348 111327.370923 134064.546566 159615.371092 190368.720715
2025-08-03 58858.700746 73733.219744 90716.794711 111402.217187 135766.407917 163399.127905 196948.118716
2025-08-10 56797.790539 72178.931675 89933.555481 111775.465088 137744.167582 167449.897851 203806.442274
2025-08-17 54732.587577 70526.190401 88949.821180 111833.559113 139285.998759 170946.119508 209990.963248
2025-08-24 53432.093245 69737.892141 88944.234142 113011.204451 142120.427831 175941.178276 217939.638458
2025-08-31 51386.902689 67986.246765 87739.905737 112723.513703 143202.165067 178889.695425 223526.416350
2025-09-07 50426.280746 67541.423886 88098.448924 114316.084964 146547.342756 184549.204089 232386.010830
2025-09-14 49170.163379 66674.442642 87894.038784 115182.107800 148985.940853 189115.104412 239949.009465
2025-09-21 47643.496690 65408.122070 87143.720720 115327.813446 150507.281490 192553.272838 246148.070740
2025-09-28 46169.072266 64156.291117 86364.321940 115394.064096 151896.421372 195810.034567 252122.434571
2025-10-05 45637.633972 64097.428713 87070.775611 117313.456532 155585.527753 201890.953208 261580.344058
2025-10-12 44997.458431 63868.733673 87539.268612 118916.863324 158875.787653 207492.202881 270479.837756
2025-10-19 44094.648468 63261.716413 87495.323762 119845.438103 161304.710624 212029.518586 278084.262560
2025-10-26 42869.607098 62188.006477 86813.822875 119924.909079 162635.287601 215189.791611 283982.621313
2025-11-02 41837.006239 61339.766447 86397.028796 120321.191425 164351.910918 218826.172296 290483.613118
2025-11-09 40713.339562 60334.677340 85744.101282 120382.869374 165619.168376 221887.984800 296268.112475